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Germany


Fri, Nov 28, 2008 03:21 PM

New Delhi, Nov 28 (IANS) The Indian Economy is in a better position to
ride out the current slowdown, compared to China, said the head of an
Indo-German trade group.

Even as Bernhard Steinruecke, Director General, Indo-German Chamber of
Commerce gave this optimistic thumbs-up to the Indian economy, he
admitted that exports from India to Germany may see a fall, with the
retail sector in the European giant witnessing a drop in demand.

'In China, where growth has been so phenomenal, the focus has been on
exports. So this could be a period of substantial consolidation
(for them),' Mumbai-based Steinruecke told IANS, when a group of
high-level business delegation from Germany arrived in India recently.

But India, where exports constitute only a small percentage of the GDP,
will weather it much better. 'There will be a certain kind of slowdown.
But it may be in fact a blessing in disguise,' he said.

Steinruecke felt that the feverish pace of economic growth had overshot
the infrastructure, leading to skyrocketing salaries and prices in
certain sectors such as real estate. 'It may bring down the
unnecessarily high prices.'

According to him, it was because of this that German companies,
suffering from the recession back home, should take this as an
opportunity to set up shop here. 'You get more value for your money;
you are able to get land, people, power at more affordable rates.
And remember after the slow period, there will be faster growth,'
he said.

Germany is India's most important trade partner in the European Union,
which is among the country's top five export destinations. Bilateral
trade volume had been over $15 billion in 2007.

'In the first quarter of this year, there has been a 20 percent growth
in exports (goods from Germany to India) and a 14 percent rise in imports
to Germany (goods from India to Germany,' he said.

Steinruecke said the global crisis had not yet affected trade figures
as most of the capital investment had been already committed.

But he expected the growth rate for Indian imports to Germany to slow
to 10 percent in the second half. 'The retail sector is struggling,'
he said.

Germany has this month officially gone into recession after two
quarters of successive contraction in Europe's largest economy.

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Natural resources: Iron, hard coal, lignite, potash, natural gas.
Agriculture (0.9% of GDP): Products--corn, wheat, potatoes, sugar, beets,
barley, hops, viticulture, forestry, fisheries.
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Trade (2006): Exports--$1.03 trillion: chemicals, motor vehicles,
iron and steel products, manufactured goods, electrical products.
Major markets--France, U.S., and U.K. Imports--$844 billion: food,
petroleum products, manufactured goods, electrical products,
motor vehicles, apparel. Major suppliers--France, Netherlands, U.S. 
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